Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 18.723111 21.367658 24.371713 28.061795 32.506733 37.732028 44.404503
2025-08-24 15.100013 18.364403 22.399352 27.838095 35.110917 44.700520 58.651599
2025-08-31 12.827819 16.241628 20.696981 27.085669 36.268935 49.422873 70.549445
2025-09-07 11.370941 14.860010 19.614988 26.786462 37.739410 54.595991 84.200090
2025-09-14 9.966533 13.333335 18.072488 25.500448 37.394099 56.781352 93.449022
2025-09-21 8.816613 12.020285 16.650113 24.141230 36.622760 58.000128 101.178334
2025-09-28 8.026214 11.138616 15.749750 23.441211 36.762123 60.725625 112.487609
2025-10-05 8.219564 11.723501 17.119351 26.563770 43.975699 77.958704 160.374241
2025-10-12 7.937005 11.542603 17.250898 27.599271 47.588128 89.121360 199.660124
2025-10-19 7.336142 10.803432 16.392380 26.761107 47.423005 92.230181 219.572159
2025-10-26 7.112644 10.650467 16.491946 27.673196 50.928486 104.477661 271.872146
2025-11-02 6.705070 10.159967 15.963518 27.326205 51.713658 110.456121 308.201786
2025-11-09 6.300372 9.662008 15.408543 26.923845 52.460523 116.978495 352.515180
2025-11-16 5.961381 9.252021 14.976483 26.719779 53.649066 125.164128 410.192696
2025-11-23 5.586938 8.752554 14.335989 26.005616 53.497375 129.553821 456.109045
2025-11-30 5.304168 8.393718 13.924699 25.721730 54.351023 137.268311 525.345851
2025-12-07 4.929710 7.848132 13.119460 24.500916 52.624716 136.414587 550.669019
2025-12-14 4.577079 7.322378 12.317071 23.209607 50.528398 133.858839 565.489863
2025-12-21 4.325644 6.966141 11.817795 22.544146 50.003032 136.555531 615.695350
2025-12-28 4.493927 7.386299 12.865627 25.510391 60.066035 181.373098 1028.152453
2026-01-04 4.433720 7.375740 13.051403 26.492865 64.737138 208.567291 1387.678666
2026-01-11 4.205444 7.032606 12.529963 25.697667 63.838645 211.820235 1521.190344
2026-01-18 4.145839 7.009378 12.671029 26.562983 68.377055 242.079410 2074.967350